Toughts on the rest of the season
Posted
#183964
(In Topic #32130)
VIP DONOR
Member since 2004
Toughts on the rest of the season
The OOC win, however, takes a lot of pressure off us and gives us a chance for post-season play even if we lose to Troy (and they make the NO bowl).
Here's how I see our schedule playing out. Being very conservative, games that would be upset wins are penciled in as losses. I've marked games against winless SBC teams as wins. USF, UK, and UF have all beaten ranked teams this season and, barring a huge blowup in their play, should not have a problem winning against us.
UNT - W
UK - L
USF - L
ULL - W
ULM - W
ASU
UF - L
FIU - W
Troy
That leaves us with, in the best case, an 8-4 record and in the worst case a 6-6 record. In a conservative case, we will have tough games with ASU and Troy, both teams that have OOC victories as well, which would leave us at 6-6. In that case we would probably not be invited to a bowl game.
UNT, ULL, ULM, and FIU are all winless. We should win those games, but an upset is always a very real possibility.
So, as I see it, to make a bowl game we still need one more "big" win, which will most likely be over ASU or Troy.
We can't disregard Troy's win over OK State, which beat us convincingly. The Troy game is also at Troy, while the ASU game is here. It's reasonable to see us splitting those games and finishing the season at 7-5.
As of today, I see Troy finishing the Belt 7-0, FAU at 6-1 (losing to Troy), and ASU at 5-2 (losing to us and Troy).
The bottom line: our win against Minnesota take off some pressure and still lets us have a good chance at a bowl even if we lose to Troy - a similar situation to MTSU last year and Troy the year before.
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2006
Toughts on the rest of the season
However, part of that belief will need to come from us, the fans…So lets stop doubting.
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2004
Toughts on the rest of the season
faudiehard said
Wow!….With all due respect LM, I'm completely shocked at your lack of believe in our team. Yes, Troy beat the crap out of OSU; however, that really means squat. I 100% believe that FAU can and will beat Troy. Furthermore, the only difference that I saw between the FAU/OSU game and the Troy/OSU game, was the confidence that Troy brought onto the field. As long as our guys believe in their talent, they can absolutely crush anybody in the Sunbelt conference.
However, part of that belief will need to come from us, the fans…So lets stop doubting.
I absolutely believe we have what it takes to beat Troy! I was trying to put together a "worst case" scenario for the rest of the season. My point was that with our win yesterday, even the worst case (losing to Troy) still gives us a good chance to go to a bowl!
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2006
Toughts on the rest of the season
Lm77 said
faudiehard said
Wow!….With all due respect LM, I'm completely shocked at your lack of believe in our team. Yes, Troy beat the crap out of OSU; however, that really means squat. I 100% believe that FAU can and will beat Troy. Furthermore, the only difference that I saw between the FAU/OSU game and the Troy/OSU game, was the confidence that Troy brought onto the field. As long as our guys believe in their talent, they can absolutely crush anybody in the Sunbelt conference.
However, part of that belief will need to come from us, the fans…So lets stop doubting.
I absolutely believe we have what it takes to beat Troy! I was trying to put together a "worst case" scenario for the rest of the season. My point was that with our win yesterday, even the worst case (losing to Troy) still gives us a good chance to go to a bowl!
I apologize …I guess I misread your post.
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2006
Toughts on the rest of the season
Talking realistic does not mean we don't love the Owls!!!
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2006
Toughts on the rest of the season
fauowl said
Talking realistic does not mean we don't love the Owls!!!
I never thought that…
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2004
Toughts on the rest of the season
Take one game at a time and starting Monday forget about the Minnesota game. It is time to prepare for North Texas.
GO OWLS!!!
2017 and 2019 Conference USA Champions
Posted
First Flight
Member since 2004
Toughts on the rest of the season
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