Early ESPN Bracketology
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(In Topic #39377)
Wise Owl
Member since 2006
My two favorite teams are FAU, and who ever is beating FIU!
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Wise Owl
Member since 2006
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
My two favorite teams are FAU, and who ever is beating FIU!
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VIP DONOR
Member since 2009
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
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Administrator
Member since 2006
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
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Wise Owl
Member since 2005
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
If it dominates the belt and goes in with 23+ wins a 12 seed is realistic just because of any automatic conference bids that make a run and get in. But that's awhile away. The belt is so weak this year, I don't see why they can't win every home game and very few road loses.
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Member since 2009
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
Exit39 said
the team really has to dominate the belt and beat Manhattan to have a winning nonconference record.
If it dominates the belt and goes in with 23+ wins a 12 seed is realistic just because of any automatic conference bids that make a run and get in. But that's awhile away. The belt is so weak this year, I don't see why they can't win every home game and very few road loses.
Respectfully… A 12 seed is probably out of anyone's reach in the Sun Belt. Even if we at North Texas go 1 or 2 loss in conference AND win the tournament to finish 29-3 or 28-4, the godawful conference RPI and the impact that has over the course of 16 games will make us lucky to get a 13 seed.
Last year was a better OOC year for the Belt, North Texas finished with 24 wins, we were just 3 years removed from our last NCAA trip, and we still got stuck with a 15 seed.
Already sitting on 6 losses (and they are for the most part very respectable losses), FAU would have to probably go undefeated through conference and tournament AND get some regional priority assistance for a 13 seed. 27-6 MIGHT be enough to get in the 13 line, but even that's potentially wishful thinking. Lose more than 1 or 2 in league, and it's pretty much 15 seed territory because of the RPI situation.
EDIT: Another thing to keep in mind is that the non-D1 wins do absolutely nothing and don't even register as wins for RPI or tournament seeding. Even a 16-0 sweep and 3 tournament wins only get you guys to 25 wins that "count" as far as the NCAA selection committee is concerned.
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VIP DONOR
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Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
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Administrator
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Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
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Wise Owl
Member since 2005
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
good points. the only reason i think we could bump a bit is if a conference leaders do not win their conference tournaments and .500 team does, which would put us ahead of them. It happens ever year. with 26 wins i would be fairly confident of a 12 seed.
But after seeing this team live and the amount of points its been giving up, i'm not sold on them yet. The big men still need to improve against other big men and go to the basket. DePaul sucks and the Owls got pushed all around inside.
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Curious Owl
Member since 2009
Re: Early ESPN Bracketology
Early ESPN Bracketology
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