Some ridiculous analysis...
Posted
Spread The Wings
Member since 2018
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2005
Hoot_N_Holler said
Let's talk some more directly, as I'm into college football and analytics in general (manly through work).
Combine the two and that's a good time…
I'd like to design a cheat sheet for the everyday fan with you. Predictive analytics using past data would be something new and cool to do while watching - haven't really seen it done before.Posted On: Aug 21st 2018, 12:31 PM #379559
Great write up and this sounds very interesting going forward.
GO OWLS!
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2014
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2016
Urban Meyer was big into analytics while at UF, and I used to read all about it.
Had a buddy that was a photographer and he asked me to attend the Kentucky game with him.
On the way up I told him some of the things I had read, in particular that UF usually scored when there was a play of 20 yards or more.
Jeff Demps had a 20+ yard run and my buddy looked down the field to me - I pointed to the end zone (at least 60 yards away) and he ran down there.
Two plays later and Jeff broke off a long run for a TD. My buddy was one of the only people down there and got the shot.
Predictive analytics…
Posted
Spread The Wings
Member since 2018
Not sure if you guys have heard of Warren Sharp, but following him kind of gave me this idea. He does a ton of NFL work and it fascinates me. I think a big part of the problem were seeing mostly in the NFL is the refusal of coaches to adapt to the new style of football. Most coaches are old players who love the "physical" ground and pound where it's not really the best style of football to win. The Eagles are a perfect example of not being old school.
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2006
However, I think you are drastically underestimating a statement you made in your work:
"When teams tried to load up to stop the run, Driskel was able to make plays due to his decision making"
I am not sure most fans appreciate how well he protected the football and stayed within himself. We get a a gun slinger in there throwing picks all over the place and holding onto the ball too long (both things I saw a ton of in the spring game (I know, its just the spring game)….it's going to be trouble.
Analytics and predictions also dont take into account chemistry and injury. Both of which we were highly fortunate in last year.
Teambeer is the most knowledgeable FAU sports fan I know, way smarter than me.
Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2005
Posted
Spread The Wings
Member since 2018
FAU can run through C-USA again by just running the ball every play. If they want to compete with OU and beat UCF you can't live on that. Just my opinion, not going to rebuttable against ya, why sports are great because there are so many ways you can look at situations and converse.
@Teambeer… I don't know, I am really curious to watch both teams first couple of games. FAU I want to see QB play and UCF I want to see how their defense adapts to the 3/4 and how Heupel uses the personnel they have on offense. That's a big concern I have about Heupel. I am supposed to be heading down to Orlando (live in NY) for that game so I'm very excited for it and hope both teams are undefeated.
Posted
Full Flight
Member since 2005
Squints15 said
@Walty, completely fair statement. I don't think analytics is a 100% way to go about game planning and coaching. There is so much more that goes into it which is why these guys are coaches and I'm not lol. I might've mentioned it in the article or it was a tweet I can't remember, but I mentioned that Driskel's decision making was tremendous and allowed FAU to be successful last season. However he struggled throwing the ball downfield and when teams are giving you one-on-one's you need to take advantage of those if you want to beat Oklahoma and I'll throw UCF in there. Kiffin's ability to develop QB's is why I think Johnson or Robison will be able to become more mature and good decision makers. There is no question that both of those guys have more raw talent than Driskel IMO.
FAU can run through C-USA again by just running the ball every play. If they want to compete with OU and beat UCF you can't live on that. Just my opinion, not going to rebuttable against ya, why sports are great because there are so many ways you can look at situations and converse.
@Teambeer… I don't know, I am really curious to watch both teams first couple of games. FAU I want to see QB play and UCF I want to see how their defense adapts to the 3/4 and how Heupel uses the personnel they have on offense. That's a big concern I have about Heupel. I am supposed to be heading down to Orlando (live in NY) for that game so I'm very excited for it and hope both teams are undefeated.Posted On: Aug 21st 2018, 2:22 PM #379571
My main concern are the losses on the OL and the lack of depth on offense in general. I believe the OL losses will have much more of an impact than the losses at QB and receiver. Kiffin did pick up a couple of decent OL grad transfers but, while I agree that the QB position will likely be improved this year, it may not show up in the offensive play mainly due to the OL's inexperience in playing together. It may not slow down Singletary much as you suggest but could significantly impact the passing game.
The defense will be killer though and should carry this team.
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