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2008-09 SBC Men's Basketball Preview

 

 

2008-09 SBC Men's Basketball Preview

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Predicted Order of Finish

East

1.      Middle Tennessee (19-11) (13-5)

2.      Western Kentucky (18-11) (12-6)

3.      South Alabama (18-11) (11-7)

4.      Florida Atlantic (17-14) (10-8)

5.   Florida International (15 -16) (8-10)

6.   Troy (12-20) (5-13)

 

West

 

1.      University Arkansas-Little Rock (17-9) (12-6)

2.   North Texas (16-13) (10-8)

3.   University Louisiana-Lafayette (15-14) (10-8)

4.   Arkansas State University (14-15) (8-10)

5.   Denver (12-17) (7-11)

6.   University Louisiana-Monroe (15-14) (7-11)

7.   New Orleans (11-19) (4-14)

 

 

 

 

WYN2K.  The Belt took a step forward last season with the NCAA Tourney appearance of South Alabama, and the deep run of Western Kentucky into the Sweet 16, jumping from 17 to 14 in the RPI rankings.  Accordingly, recruiting is on the way up all around.  However, this year the final league standings should look different as they both lose key contributors from last year's roster (we'll get to that later).  You can expect a couple games difference in parity within the final standings at season's end.  Here are our preseason SBC All First Teamers and Player of the Year picks:

 

Desmond Yates - MTSU

Carlos Monroe - FAU

Josh White - NT

Russell Hicks - FIU

Brandon Davis - USA

 

SBC Preseason Player of the Year:  Carlos Monroe - FAU

 

Trio of new Head Coaches a big plus for the League.  The SBC welcomes the return of Mike Jarvis to the coaching ranks as the new Head Coach for the Fighting Owls of Florida Atlantic.  Jarvis boasts a conference best resume with 350 career wins and a myriad of post season tournament appearances - 9 NCAA and 5 NIT.  He is confident the Owls are a stock on the rise; having all but promised that they will make a return trip to The Big Dance in the very near future. Jarvis is known for the development of NBA Hall of Fame player Patrick Ewing, and also coached a talented Ron Artest while at St John's University. He has added a pair of nationally recognized prepster guards to the already solid nucleus he inherits at FAU. PF Carlos Monroe (15.5PPG, 9.8RB) will get some much needed double team help from this duo.

 

A little further north and west, John Brady joins The Sun Belt assuming the reigns of the recently rebranded Arkansas State Redwolves program.  Brady enjoyed very successful tutelages' with Samford (89 wins), and LSU (192 wins), where he lead the Tigers all the way to The Final Four in 2006.  A heralded recruiter, Brady has coached an impressive 25 All TAAC (now The Atlantic Sun) and Southeastern Conference selections.  He hit the JUCO recruiting trail hard in the off-season, with four transfer signees heading to Jonesboro for the upcoming season.

 

Rounding out the trio of newcomers, Ken McDonald returns to Bowling Green to take over for the Hill Toppers of Western Kentucky.  McDonald previously served as an Assistant Coach at WKU and most recently as the top Assistant under Rick Barnes at the University of Texas.  He is a talented recruiter and was instrumental in the Longhorn's signing of NBA draftees Kevin Durrant and D.J. Augustin.  McDonald will have his hands full though, as this year's team will be without the services of  Courtney Lee, who signed with the Orlando Magic in the first round of the NBA draft (22nd).

 

Predicted Champion. UALR (#13 Seed NCAA).  Bold pick?  Absolutely.  Realistic?  Definitely. Destiny?  Perhaps.  Here's why:  The Trojans have finished atop the Western Division in three of the last five years, but have never won the crown.  Unlike all other West Division teams (and even the East minus MTSU) all five starters return for UALR.  Couple this with a weaker Eastern Division, and a potential Home court advantage for the SBC Tournament and you have the makings of a Championship.  Rest assured that someone will knock out one of the higher Eastern seeds given its parity this season - paving the way for UALR.  The Sun Belt has gained much needed size all around this year, but UALR will display the truest balanced attack.  This will feature the league's lone true big man down low in Ole Miss transfer Mike Smith 6-7, 295Lbs (.529 FG%).  And that will be a big advantage (pun intended) along the way.  Joining him will be SG Steven Moore who should emerge even more this season after shooting a staggering 42-97 (.433%) from downtown last season.  The clincher:  Come March they can both click their heels like Dorothy, and say "There's no place like home".  Despite the fact that the SBC Front Office claims the Tournament site is neutral this season, the Championship will be played in Hot Springs, AR; which is 52 miles from UALR.  This virtually ensures them Home Court advantage during the SBC Tournament.

 

Others Considered.  They will be formidable opponents on a number of nights this season, but Western Kentucky has flat out lost too much: A whopping 60.3% total offense, 59.2% total assists, 50.3% total steals, and 39.6% total rebounds.  A lot of this can be attributed to the departure of both SG Courtney Lee (20.4PPG), and PG Tyrone Brazelton (14.4PPG).  The same goes for USA who must find backcourt answers for the losses of 1st Team All SBC guard Demetric Bennett (19.7PPG), and 2nd Team All SBC guard Daon Merritt (11.5PPG, 5.5APG).  North Texas could be in the race for the Western Division with the return of PG Josh White (13.9PPG), but like the others considered, they face key losses with only two starters returning.  MTSU should be atop the Eastern division as seasons end, and does have talented returnees in both Desmond Yates (16.0PPG) and Demetrius Green (12.5PPG), but it's a long drive to Hot Springs come tournament time. 

 

Games to Watch.  Traditional powers South Alabama and Western Kentucky will face off in a nationally televised contest that is sure to be entertaining.  The Deuce will also air the SBC Championship live:

 

South Alabama @ Western Kentucky (02.07.09) 1:00PM ESPN2

Sun Belt Conference Championship Game (03.10.09) 9:00PM ESPN2

 

RPI Booster Games.  Quite a few non-conference games could help elevate the SBC in the RPI standings this season.  SEC opponents are strewn throughout league schedules, as well as a few quality West Coast opponents.  Winning these contests would certainly offer nudges here and there.  And some are winnable.  But upsetting the bad boys below would do some serious damage.  Are they winnable?  Probably not.  Cliché alert: That is why they play the game. Well, that and some guarantee money.  Without any further ado, please cue: "Facing the Giants".

 

Florida Atlantic @ Arizona (11.17.08) 10:00PM

 

Tennessee @ Middle Tennessee (11.21.08) 7:00PM

 

Western Kentucky @ Louisville (11.30.08) 2:00PM

 

Odds of Multiple NCAA Bids.  Last year was a pleasant surprise, with both WKU and USA making the tourney.  If the Western Division represents the SBC in The Big Dance, there is a long shot that an Eastern Division top finisher could get in.  But it is highly unlikely and would take some serious Non Conference results to convince the committee.

 

Final thought.  The SBC is one to two years away from making the climb back to where it was prior to adding football as a sponsored collegiate sport.  Serious recruiting classes have come in during the off-season.  It will be fun to watch some of the young talent begin to develop and blossom on the hardwood this upcoming season.

 

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