FAU Football Win Probabilities
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Of note in this update, and given the loss to Marshall where the line was missed by 13.5 points, all probabilities have shifted away from the Owls - as was the case last weekend after the line was heavily missed against UTEP (by +11) as well.
The WKU contest sees a -7.6% shift away from FAU, while nearly a -2% swing is observed @ ODU and a -4.6% swing is observed vs MTSU.
Overall, projected record is now slightly below Vegas' initial forecast prior to season start of 7-5 and sits at 6.7-5.3. Obviously, this isn't achievable, but it does illustrate a concerning realignment in confidence.
Bowl eligibility takes a swipe as well, decreasing from a season long 100% to that of 92.6% as of right now.
BTW, Vegas 4-0 over the last 4 games straight up against the line since I started this thread, and 8-0 on the year.
Please don't shoot the messenger, as I am going to probably have to eat crow, having gone with 8-4 initially.
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Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
Of note in this update, and given the loss to ODU, the remaining two contest's probabilities have once again shifted away from the Owls.
The WKU contest sees another shift away from FAU at nearly -5%, while nearly a -10% swing away vs MTSU.
Overall, projected record now sits at 5.9-6.1.
Bowl eligibility takes another hot as well, decreasing from 92.6% to 70.9%.
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LawOwl said
So there’s still a 70% chance we get into a bowl. Could be worse I supposePosted On: Nov 18th 2021, 9:19 PM #405159
Well, we also had a 70% chance of beating ODB…and that didn't turn out very well…
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LawOwl said
At least we’re not playing in 10 year old shoulder pads, sticking around in a sinking ship of a conference and getting our admin called out by our OWN football coach about sabotage. Yea definitely think it could be worse lolPosted On: Nov 18th 2021, 9:28 PM #405162
Or having a Professor who believes Pedophilia is natural and justified….
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cbboarder said
LawOwl said
At least we’re not playing in 10 year old shoulder pads, sticking around in a sinking ship of a conference and getting our admin called out by our OWN football coach about sabotage. Yea definitely think it could be worse lolPosted On: Nov 18th 2021, 9:28 PM #405162
Or having a Professor who believes Pedophilia is natural and justified….Posted On: Nov 18th 2021, 9:57 PM #405163
MAPs!
Twitter: @JakeElman97
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JakeElman said
cbboarder said
LawOwl said
At least we’re not playing in 10 year old shoulder pads, sticking around in a sinking ship of a conference and getting our admin called out by our OWN football coach about sabotage. Yea definitely think it could be worse lolPosted On: Nov 18th 2021, 9:28 PM #405162
Or having a Professor who believes Pedophilia is natural and justified….Posted On: Nov 18th 2021, 9:57 PM #405163
MAPs!Posted On: Nov 18th 2021, 10:19 PM #405164
Wait, what?
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