2022 C-USA Championship & Total Wins Forecast for FAU Football
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2006
FAU +800
How? Didn't WKU lose basically all their talent to draft and transfer?
Teambeer is the most knowledgeable FAU sports fan I know, way smarter than me.
Posted
Member since 2022
Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
The game was lost by three points. In all realty that's just a 4 point difference over what the outcome was forecast to be.
Just so it it out there, here are the probabilities for the rest of the season:
Five wins (SELA, FIU, Rice, MTSU, UTEP)
Three losses (Purdue 85%, UCF 81%, UAB 77%)
Two 50-50 games (WKU, UNT)
This means we would likely finish between 6-6 to 8-4 if things were to go as "expected".
Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
Here's the latest win percentages for all FAU games remaining as of today. Home games are in Bold:
Losses
- Perdue 8.6%
- UAB 23.6%
- MTSU 47.7%
Wins
- WKU 50.1%
- UNT 60.3%
- Rice 65.6%
- UTEP 74.3%
- FIU 91.6%
Forecasted outcome: 7-5 by a hair, and the Owls are on the road 5-of-8.
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2004
Go Owls!
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2014
cbboarder said
I hope we finish 7-5…I'm starting to think it will be another 5-7.
Go Owls!Posted On: Sep 24th 2022, 8:57 AM #408455
Same. At the very least it’s gonna come down to whether or not we get to a bowl game for Taggart to keep his job and next week’s game at UNT will set the tone for the rest of the season. If we go into the bye week 3-3 (2-0) I’ll feel a lot better about our chances
Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
Here's the latest win percentages for all FAU games remaining. Home games are in Bold:
Losses
- UAB 28.7% UP
- WKU 39.1% DOWN
- MTSU 47.7% DOWN
Wins
- UNT 60.9% UP
- Rice 68.3% UP
- UTEP 69.0% DOWN
- FIU 97.7% UP
Forecasted outcome: REVISED down to 6-6 and the Owls are on the road 4-of-7.
Posted
VIP DONOR
Member since 2014
Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
Posted
Administrator
Member since 2006
Here's the latest win percentages for all FAU games remaining. Home games are in Bold:
Losses
- UAB 28.8% Even
- WKU 37.3% Down
- MTSU 37.3% Down
Wins
- Rice 58.8% Down
- UTEP 65.3% Down
- FIU 95.2% Down
Forecasted outcome: REVISED down to 5-7 with a 41.4% chance to become bowl eligible and the Owls are on the road 3-of-6.
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