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2022 C-USA Championship & Total Wins Forecast for FAU Football

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Western Kentucky +350
FAU +800

How?  Didn't WKU lose basically all their talent to draft and transfer?

Teambeer is the most knowledgeable FAU sports fan I know, way smarter than me.
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There's some good players on this team especially with the transfers that came in this year.  I think 8 wins and a bowl game! Anything less would be a disappointing season IMO!
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The Ohio game opened at 1 point, then got as high as 4 because it was bet in that direction.

The game was lost by three points. In all realty that's just a 4 point difference over what the outcome was forecast to be.

Just so it it out there, here are the probabilities for the rest of the season:

Five wins (SELA, FIU, Rice, MTSU, UTEP)
Three losses (Purdue 85%, UCF 81%, UAB 77%)
Two 50-50 games (WKU, UNT)

This means we would likely finish between 6-6 to 8-4 if things were to go as "expected".
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Firing this back up, and will update each week.

Here's the latest win percentages for all FAU games remaining as of today. Home games are in Bold:

Losses

  • Perdue 8.6%
  • UAB 23.6%
  • MTSU 47.7%

Wins

  • WKU 50.1%
  • UNT 60.3%
  • Rice 65.6%
  • UTEP 74.3%
  • FIU 91.6%

Forecasted outcome: 7-5 by a hair, and the Owls are on the road 5-of-8.
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 I hope we finish 7-5…I'm starting to think it will be another 5-7.

Go Owls!
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cbboarder said

 I hope we finish 7-5…I'm starting to think it will be another 5-7.

Go Owls!
Posted On: Sep 24th 2022, 8:57 AM #408455


Same. At the very least itís gonna come down to whether or not we get to a bowl game for Taggart to keep his job and next weekís game at UNT will set the tone for the rest of the season. If we go into the bye week 3-3 (2-0) Iíll feel a lot better about our chances†
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***UPDATED September 25th***

Here's the latest win percentages for all FAU games remaining. Home games are in Bold:

Losses

  • UAB 28.7% UP
  • WKU 39.1%  DOWN
  • MTSU 47.7% DOWN

Wins

  • UNT 60.9% UP
  • Rice 68.3% UP
  • UTEP 69.0% DOWN
  • FIU 97.7% UP

Forecasted outcome: REVISED down to 6-6 and the Owls are on the road 4-of-7.
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Is UNT bad this year or something? Also, I think WKU isnít as scary as people think.
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Getting ready to post the capsule…they aren't "bad" but they don't have a passer by any means and have challenges defensively…run game is decent (they use a lot of guys) but they give up more yards than they earn in the end.
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***UPDATED October 2nd***

Here's the latest win percentages for all FAU games remaining. Home games are in Bold:

Losses

  • UAB 28.8% Even
  • WKU 37.3%  Down
  • MTSU 37.3% Down

Wins

  • Rice 58.8% Down
  • UTEP 65.3% Down
  • FIU 95.2% Down

Forecasted outcome: REVISED down to 5-7 with a 41.4% chance to become bowl eligible and the Owls are on the road 3-of-6.
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