Air Force @ FAU Game Thread - September 9, 2018
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Wise Owl
Member since 2007
FAU - THE REAL SLEEPING GIANT
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VIP DONOR
Member since 2008
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2016
In my opinion, dominating AF and competing with UCF will probably be a much taller order than competing to win the CUSA championship. AF will be a tough game like the tests against Marshall and UNT, but UCF is 2 or 3 times better than anybody in the conference. Until proven differently, this season "feels" a lot like last year (sans all the hype coming in). A probable slow-start, with the season getting easier once conference play begins. NOBODY realistically expected anything other than an "L" in week #1, and many expected a 2-2 record after 4 games. Last Saturday hurt, but I am sure it hurt the coaches and players a lot more. So this weekend's game is where we can more accurately determine if this team can be as good as last year, close to the same but in a fight with the other 3 or 4 top CUSA teams, or if the sky really is falling.I am simply saying that none of our QB's have given me a reason YET to believe they can effectively run this team and win another CUSA championship let alone dominate AF and compete with UCF.
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2016
David Slavic said
I'd expect this one to be a shootout.Posted On: Aug 23rd 2018, 8:52 AM #379608
Navy runs the triple option - and they scored 42 on the Owls last year. The TO is not the offense it used to be, with 3 yards and a cloud of dust as the goal. These guys will throw it a little (their QB had 1100 passing yards last season), and when they do it is usually to stretch the field and/or because they have determined that they are going to catch you napping. The RBs (including the QB) in these offenses are also now the kind of guys who can easily turn a missed assignment into a 50-yard TD, and are not the lumbering guys doing the FB dive.Rick said
I get that the TO is still a ball-control scheme, but they will be very capable of scoring plenty of points. Stony Brook was not a good gauge last weekend, but they scored 38 points and only gave up 75 TOTAL yards. Even against an FCS team, you would expect in mop-up time for a team to at least throw together a few stats.
Correction - maybe we can learn something from the AF vs Stony Brook game. AF really only had 3 good drives in the game. They had a number of very unsuccessful series against the Sea Wolves (several 3 and 4 play drives, with a few where they lost yards even in the first half).
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VIP DONOR
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owlsdad said
From the 2018 FAU Football Schedule thread (but I thought at least my post belongs over here)….David Slavic said
I'd expect this one to be a shootout.Posted On: Aug 23rd 2018, 8:52 AM #379608Navy runs the triple option - and they scored 42 on the Owls last year. The TO is not the offense it used to be, with 3 yards and a cloud of dust as the goal. These guys will throw it a little (their QB had 1100 passing yards last season), and when they do it is usually to stretch the field and/or because they have determined that they are going to catch you napping. The RBs (including the QB) in these offenses are also now the kind of guys who can easily turn a missed assignment into a 50-yard TD, and are not the lumbering guys doing the FB dive.Rick said
I get that the TO is still a ball-control scheme, but they will be very capable of scoring plenty of points. Stony Brook was not a good gauge last weekend, but they scored 38 points and only gave up 75 TOTAL yards. Even against an FCS team, you would expect in mop-up time for a team to at least throw together a few stats.
Correction - maybe we can learn something from the AF vs Stony Brook game. AF really only had 3 good drives in the game. They had a number of very unsuccessful series against the Sea Wolves (several 3 and 4 play drives, with a few where they lost yards even in the first half).Posted On: Sep 5th 2018, 2:09 PM #380220
Couldn't agree with this assessment more.
They will score. Question will be - can we score more?
I think the 10.5 points is crazy.
Teambeer is the most knowledgeable FAU sports fan I know, way smarter than me.
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2008
AF scored one TD on D and had another turnover over set them up close.
Seeing the triple option another year should help as well.
You guys sound crazy and I think bought into the hype too much and are letting a let down against a team that will win by an average of 35 a game.
Please listen to the podcast this week I have to feed you some reality.
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VIP DONOR
Member since 2006
Teambeer is the most knowledgeable FAU sports fan I know, way smarter than me.
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2017
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Wise Owl
Member since 2008
walty12 said
Navy beat Air Force the week after us last year 48-45.Posted On: Sep 5th 2018, 3:32 PM #380223
Triple option teams playing other triple option teams tend to play each other close for (typically low scoring) obvious reasons.
Go look how close every Army Navy game that has been decided by one score or less even the years Army was trash.
You guys forget Johnathan Taylor a true freshman ran for 225 vs us last year at UW and Kyler Murray was UW QB not a below average game manager we would have lost that game 63-14.
The genius Kendel Briles who is the massive loss despite losing some playing calling duties going into week 4 could not even figure out that Motor needed more than 10 carries a game.
Posted
Wise Owl
Member since 2016
I fully expect them to be disciplined, but if we play a whole lot smarter and tackle we can limit them (I alluded to multiple poor series against Stony Brook by AF last week). I also expect us to simply out-athlete them with our offense and score some points. If the D plays disciplined and can get back to causing a turnover or three, FAU can win this going away (my "Fearless" prediction). If we blow assignments on D, kick FGs instead of scoring TDs, etc. I still see FAU winning - just in a much closer game.
And @jgf - this post by you I agree with pretty much entirely. The school is reaping rewards from the football program, until proven otherwise the Owls are still the team to beat in CUSA, and all of the reasonable goals for the team (CUSA division title, conference championship, another bowl appearance) are still right in front of the team. I stated multiple times that the OU game was the LEAST important of the season (especially now).
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